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  • AI Predictive Analysis Added to StreamStats
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  • Most-streamed Rock songs January 2021
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Navigate the Future Blog

by Dave Van Dyke, President
Bridge Ratings Media Research

Music Chart Compression

Dave Van Dyke August 2, 2024

Radio programmers and record industry exes are raising concerns over a development with song charts - especially in on-demand streaming: distinction in popularity of songs as rank compression accelerates.

As compression increases, it becomes more difficult to differentiate song popularity simply by virtue of stream counts

The compression of song stream numbers, where there’s less separation between popular song titles in rankings, can be attributed to several factors:

  1. Increased Access and Availability: With the rise of music streaming platforms like Spotify, Apple Music, and others, listeners have unprecedented access to a vast library of music. This democratizes music consumption, allowing more songs to gain traction simultaneously.

  2. Algorithmic Playlists and Recommendations: Streaming services use sophisticated algorithms to create personalized playlists and recommendations. These algorithms often promote a wide variety of songs to users, leading to a more even distribution of streams across many tracks.

  3. Social Media and Virality: Platforms like TikTok, Instagram, and YouTube can rapidly boost a song’s popularity. Viral trends often lead to multiple songs gaining significant streams in a short period, contributing to the compression in stream numbers.

  4. Playlist Culture: Many users now listen to curated playlists rather than individual albums or artists. These playlists often feature a mix of popular and emerging tracks, which helps distribute streams more evenly across different songs.

  5. Global Audience: The global reach of streaming platforms means that songs can become popular in multiple regions simultaneously. This broadens the base of listeners and can lead to a more even distribution of streams.

  6. Shorter Attention Spans: With the sheer volume of available music, listeners tend to switch between songs more frequently. This behavior can result in a more balanced distribution of streams across many tracks.

These factors collectively contribute to the phenomenon where popular songs have more compressed stream numbers, making it harder for any single track to dominate the charts for extended periods.

Bridge Ratings has addressed this development this year by introducing two new metrics to our client service STREAMSTATS.

1) Passion Scores

Pure stream counts used to tell a different story for researchers and music programmers. The stream count differences between #1 and say #20 on a chart would be significant enough that true relative popularity variance of any two songs was clearly determined.

Compression has blurred these results.

But passion for a song - how many times it is played and by how many different users - adds a dimension of a song’s value not previously unknown. This Song Value Metric allows for clear distinctions between songs and dissolves the chart compression syndrome.

2) Predictive Artificial Intelligence in which song popularity is further analyzed with a calculus based on previous song-type consumption success. This produces a song appeal metric which is used to further appreciate song value currently disguised by streaming chart compression.

As discerning true popularity becomes a more complicated process due to chart compression, we’ve developed these interpretation tools in order to clarify blurred chart rank results.

Dave Van Dyke, President

Comment

Taking Ownership of Your Data: Decentralized Social Media

Dave Van Dyke July 17, 2024

What are Decentralized Social Networks? Decentralized social networks operate on independently run servers, rather than on a centralized server owned by a business.

Mastodon is one example of a decentralized social network. It is based on open-source software and functions a lot like Twitter.

One of the most compelling advantages of decentralized social networks is the empowerment they provide to users over their own data. In traditional social media platforms, our personal information is often stored and controlled by centralized entities, leaving us with little say over how it is used and shared.

As the demand for privacy-centric and censorship-resistant social media grows, decentralized platforms have the potential to redefine the future of social media, fostering a more equitable, transparent, and empowering online ecosystem.

Decentralized social media platforms are gaining traction as a viable alternative to traditional networks like Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram. These platforms utilize blockchain technology, distributed ledger systems, and peer-to-peer networks to create a new paradigm of online communication. Unlike centralized social media, which relies on a single central server, decentralized networks operate on a distributed system, making them resilient, censorship-resistant, and highly secure.

[Bridge Ratings]

Comment

Spotify: Radio’s True Nemesis

Dave Van Dyke July 9, 2024

Together with Podcasting and its music algorithms, Spotify has created a media juggernaut.

Let’s review:

Podcasting has been chipping away at radio’s time spent listening for several key reasons:

1. On-Demand Flexibility

Podcasts offer the convenience of on-demand listening, allowing users to consume content whenever and wherever they want. This flexibility is a significant advantage over traditional radio, which follows a fixed schedule.

2. Diverse and Niche Content

Podcasts cover a vast array of topics, catering to specific interests and niche audiences. Whether it’s true crime, business, or hobby-related content, listeners can find podcasts that align perfectly with their interests.

3. Multitasking-Friendly

Podcasts are ideal for multitasking. People can listen while commuting, exercising, or doing household chores, making it easier to integrate into busy lifestyles.

4. Personal Connection and Intimacy

Podcasts often create a sense of intimacy and personal connection. The conversational tone and storytelling format make listeners feel more engaged and connected to the hosts.

5. Accessibility and Ease of Use

With the proliferation of smartphones and podcast apps, accessing podcasts has become incredibly easy. Most podcasts are free and can be downloaded or streamed with minimal effort.

6. Community and Engagement

Podcasts foster a sense of community among listeners. Many podcasts have dedicated fan bases and active social media engagement, enhancing the overall listening experience.

7. Educational and Informative Content

Beyond entertainment, podcasts are a valuable source of educational and informative content. Listeners can learn new skills, stay updated on current events, or dive deep into specialized topics.

These factors have collectively contributed to the growing popularity of podcasts and the gradual decline in traditional radio time spent.

And podcasting is also impacting music radio in several significant ways:
1. Shift in Listener Preferences

  • On-Demand Content: Just like with talk radio, listeners appreciate the on-demand nature of podcasts. This flexibility allows them to choose what they want to listen to and when, which is a stark contrast to the fixed schedules of traditional music radio.

  • Curated Experiences: Podcasts often provide curated music experiences, such as artist interviews, deep dives into music genres, and themed playlists, which can be more appealing than the repetitive playlists often found on music radio.

2. Audience Fragmentation

  • Niche Content: Podcasts cater to niche audiences with specific musical tastes, drawing listeners away from the more generalized content of traditional music radio1.

  • Personalization: The ability to personalize listening experiences through podcasts and streaming services means listeners can avoid the ads and talk segments that are common on music radio.

3. Competition from Streaming Services

  • Integrated Platforms: Many podcast platforms are integrated with music streaming services (e.g., Spotify), making it easy for users to switch between music and podcasts without leaving the app2.

  • Discovery Algorithms: Streaming services use sophisticated algorithms to recommend both music and podcasts, keeping users engaged within their ecosystem and reducing the time they spend on traditional radio.

4. Advertising Revenue

  • Ad Spend Shift: Advertisers are increasingly shifting their budgets from traditional radio to podcasts due to the latter’s growing audience and targeted advertising capabilities.

  • Sponsorship Opportunities: Podcasts offer unique sponsorship opportunities that can be more engaging and less intrusive than traditional radio ads.

5. Listener Engagement

  • Interactive Content: Podcasts often encourage listener interaction through social media and community engagement, creating a more immersive experience compared to the passive listening of traditional radio.

  • Exclusive Content: Many podcasts offer exclusive content, such as behind-the-scenes looks at music production or exclusive interviews, which can attract music enthusiasts.

These factors collectively contribute to the growing influence of podcasts on music radio, leading to a shift in how audiences consume audio content.

How do you think music radio stations can adapt to these changes?

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How On-line Playlisting Can Save Music Radio

For music programmers who have been utilizing on-demand streaming data to properly align their on-air music with true music consumption, here's some news: Playlisting has become the dominant way most music fans listen.

At Bridge Ratings we have been tracking music consumption through on-demand streaming services for over four years. We now share this data with our music radio clients seeking to properly align their on-air song exposure to their listeners' actual consumption.

In a typical year we process and analyze hundreds of millions of streams from across the U.S. and, more specifically, by market and station.

Over the past three years we have undertaken an analysis of music streaming consumption and learned almost immediately in the fall of 2015 that playlisting plays a significant role in the way the average person consumes music through on-demand streaming platforms.

Playlist is a term to describe a list of video or audio files that can be played back on a media player sequentially or in random order. In its most general form, an audioplaylist is simply a list of songs, but sometimes a loop.

What We've Learned

[More...]

Read the full article in the Navigate the Future Blog.

For further information or advisement contact Dave Van Dyke:  dvd@bridgeratings.com  |  (323) 696-0967

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