Dave Van Dyke Interview - The Sands Report

Richard Sands got the “radio bug” at 5 years-old, listening to his transistor radio.  After a long stint programming the iconic Live 105 in San Francisco, Richard ventured out to create “The Sands Report,” the #1 Alternative radio news weekly. It's a forum where he reports on the comings and goings of the format, while always offering up his insightful take on Alternative – and radio in general.

Richard recently interviewed Bridge Ratings CEO & Founder, Dave Van Dyke, about traditional radio’s dilemma. This interview was published in the March 15, 2023 issue of The Sands Report.

Richard: Last month you had a blog post about “Radio’s Dilemma.” What is that dilemma, Dave?

DVD: It should be a god-send, but radio has too much music to consider and expose for their listeners. When one considers all the music that has come before, there is an ever-expanding pool of possible songs. From a catalogue perspective, music discovery has increased in recent years as the internet has reminded original consumers of classic tunes to resample and discover and revive lost gems as younger generations discover that they love much of the older music as well as the new. Lots of classics. Plus, new music! Current music presents its own quagmire for radio programmers as listeners consume current and recurrent music differently than previous generations. For example, in addition to new album releases, many of today’s major artists may drop multiple new tracks from forthcoming albums in a given week. Part of radio’s dilemma is figuring out how to properly expose all this music.

RS: Streaming has made it a whole new ballgame, hasn’t it?

DVD: Exactly. Consumers have access to just about all the music ever recorded and have created self-selected libraries of favorites, interesting discoveries and classic finds. With artists dumping so much music into the marketplace, it’s a field day for music lovers, but presents a nightmare scenario for programmers. The industry generally continues to use the old-school 1980s playbook, reflecting airplay exposure based on the way labels used to release music.

RS: With so much new music constantly coming at us, how can radio sift through and figure out what is the best new music to play?

DVD: This is where it gets tricky. Radio has proven—in general—that it does very well “playing the hits” and that is what continues to bring listeners back to the dial. However, we’re at least ten years beyond when radio should’ve pivoted to systems that represent the way people actually consume music. Digital music consumption has changed the landscape and radio’s systems have not kept up. It takes courage in today’s radio business environment to do things so differently that it gives a perceived change to the listener. Considering how many wonderful tools are available to them to help sift through the avalanche of new music monthly, those tools really haven’t changed programming all that much.

RS: What is research showing?

DVD: We’ve found on-demand streaming and other forms of traditional music research provide very different listener reactions to music. One analysis revealed that traditional music testing of hooks gives false positives about the lasting benefit of a song’s true appeal. On-demand streaming analysis shows actual consumption appeal over time. We’ve seen many examples of songs radio clings to in high rotations when actual consumption of that song is fading. Part of this problem stems from programmers programming by consensus, i.e. utilizing airplay charts to make music decisions. Some songs maintain significant passion on our streaming charts for weeks or months, most, though, fade. It’s knowing which songs to jettison and how quickly.

RS: And your conclusion is...?

DVD: Move songs through the system faster. Our StreamStats streaming data allows programmers to see quickly whether a song has potential. If it doesn’t expand its reach in our research with their audience, it is advisable to drop it.

We’ve found that many songs that are major hits that do fade in consumption rank, do so not because of “burn” or building negatives, but because of a more benign reason: other newer songs are replacing the time spent with weekly music consumption.

RS: What’s the best way for radio to meet the demand for new music?

DVD: It’s going to require completely different clocks or sequence structure. We have seen stations we consult turn songs over much quicker—not necessarily rotating them faster, but rather retaining them on the list for shorter spans and as research guides you, hold on to a handful of exceptional high consumption/high passion titles and either discard or place songs that have stickiness into different categories. Programmers can measure “stickiness” with on-demand streaming data or other research tools.

RS: Thanks for your time, Dave. Last question: Is there an opportunity here to work with labels? The labels should be our partners in the ever expanding world of music.

DVD: Though we are often on opposite sides of the desk, both parties benefit from a strong relationship. Unfortunately, more often than not, the label has different goals than the programmer, but there are times when promoting the artist, the label is interested in is a benefit to the programmer/station. Our best broadcasters are already partnering with labels...It is possible to do on-air features of songs a label is working allowing a station for example to get listeners involved for their responses to new songs that show promise through streaming data.

The Divergent Paths of Music Radio & Its Listeners Update

Since 2001 Bridge Ratings has been tracking and trending media consumption. Broadcast radio, internet radio, satellite radio, streaming, social media - it all is part of the daily manner in which audio consumers spend valuable entertainment time.

Traditional radio is no longer the only option.

So why are radio programmers missing the boat and not reflecting the tastes of their audiences.

Much has been written in recent years about the strengths of traditional AM/FM radio (its reach of 93% of the population) and its weakness (annual time-spent listening attrition).

Traditional radio’s music exposure structures no longer align with audience need.
— Dave Van Dyke, President Bridge Ratings

For many, music radio these days still uses structural exposure playbooks from the 1970s.

What's wrong with that?

Music radio song category structures and exposures no longer align with how the audience consumes music and in our latest findings here at Bridge Ratings, we've discovered that passion for music radio is slipping for 75% of the four major music formats we analyzed: Top 40 (CHR), Country, Urban Contemporary and Alternative.

Reduction in passion for music radio doesn't necessarily mean less passion for the music; on the contrary.

Of the four music radio formats we studied, only Urban Contemporary continues to align its programming to the needs of its listeners.

The Study

Methodology: Bridge Ratings has been tracking radio usage since its founding in 2001. Since 2001 each year we have randomly selected 5 radio stations in the four music formats in three market categories: Major Market (Ranked 1-10), Medium Market (Ranked 11-40) and Small Market (Ranked 41+). This totaled 20 radio stations per music format in each market category. Sample sizes varied by format and by year.

We tracked listening occasions per personal interviews and on-line surveys.

For each member of our sample aged 12 and over, we tracked their preference and passion for each type of music associated with each of the music formats (Passion Index).

The result was a comparison of weekly listening tune-in occasions and the passion.

The following charts summarize our findings:

Top 40

Click on image to enlarge.

As with all of these format examples, Passion for Pop music on Contemporary Hit Radio/Top 40 remains high over the sixteen year term of this study. What has changed is the number of weekly occasions of listening. Drop-off began as early as 2006 - long before many of the alternative methods of consuming Pop music became available. The divide between the passion and the tune-in is significant for this format yet provides an opportunity.

The gap between the Passion Index and the Tune-in Listening Occasions represents the growth potential for these formats.
— Dave Van Dyke

Country

Click on image to enlarge.

According to our samples, passion for Country music has sustained its high numbers throughout this period having reached its highest point today. And as well-programmed are many of the Country radio stations reflected in this study, the passion for the music and the number of times listeners tune-in each day has slipped and in 2010 began to diverge into a Country music life group that is not as satisfied with Country radio as it could be. The gap between the passion index scores and the tune-in occasion number is the potential the format has for growth.

Alternative Rock

Click on image to enlarge.

Evidenced in most of these music formats is the growing gap of non-alignment and nowhere is it more evident than in the Alternative Radio segment. Passion for the Alternative music category which can include everything from Alternative, Punk, Indie, Rock and Alternative Pop remains greater than the satisfaction levels delivered by the stations represented in this next chart. Despite the drop-off, the passion for the music is only 14% lower than it was in 2000 while tune-in to these radio stations on average has dipped faster after a high in 2007.

Urban Contemporary

Click on image to enlarge.

An example of well-aligned radio to its audience is Urban Contemporary as shown in the following chart. Passion for the music and tune-in occasions have followed similar growth trajectories since 2000 and today the format is performing better than ever. Does this have anything to do with the fact that Urban music tends to be the most-consumed whether by stream, download or physical purchase? We believe it does.

Solutions

According to a separate research study of radio program directors conducted late Summer 2016, only 44% of radio programmers used some form of music research. 70% of the group that doesn't use music research depends on published airplay charts to choose and manage their playlists.

The slow disintegration of station tune-in occasions not only aligns with advances in technology but also seems to align with an era when budget for solid station product research began to be cut or reduced and as revenues dried up since 2005, costs were eliminated and research was one of the victims.

The disconnect between listener expectations and radio’s music programming provides an opportunity.

Radio today continues to reach over 90% of the U.S. population weekly. And it's no secret that with all the entertainment options available, traditional radio has competition for the short attention span of most listeners.

With the varied audio options available to radio consumers, frankly they've gotten more sophisticated in their tastes, needs and expectations.

Our listener panels and the charts in this report point to one of music radio's key vulnerabilities: listener expectations are not being met.

Even listening behavior of older demographics have significantly adjusted to the influence of new technology.

The disconnect between listener expectations and radio's music programming provides an opportunity.

The radio industry can view this data in hindsight and wonder why time spent listening is dropping. However a return to investment in the product in the form of research, talent and marketing could resolve or at least halt the deterioration in listener commitment to radio stations that play music they are passionate about.

The Divergent Paths of Music Radio & Its Listeners

Since 2001 Bridge Ratings has been tracking and trending media consumption. Broadcast radio, internet radio, satellite radio, streaming, social media - it all is part of the daily manner in which audio consumers spend valuable entertainment time.

Traditional radio is no longer the only option.

So why are radio programmers missing the boat and not reflecting the tastes of their audiences.

Much has been writing in recent years about the strengths of traditional AM/FM radio (its reach of 93% of the population) and its weakness (annual time-spent listening reductions).

Traditional radio’s music exposure structures no longer align with audience need.
— Dave Van Dyke, President Bridge Ratings

For many, music radio these days still uses structural exposure playbooks from the 1970s.

What's wrong with that?

Music radio song category structures and exposures no longer align with how the audience consumes music and in our latest findings here at Bridge Ratings, we've discovered that passion for music radio is slipping for 75% of the four major music formats we analyzed: Top 40 (CHR), Country, Urban Contemporary and Alternative.

Reduction in passion for music radio doesn't necessarily mean less passion for the music; on the contrary.

Of the four music radio formats we studied, only Urban Contemporary continues to align its programming to the needs of its listeners.

The Study

Methodology: Bridge Ratings has been tracking radio usage since its founding in 2001. Since 2001 each year we have randomly selected 5 radio stations in the four music formats in three market categories: Major Market (Ranked 1-10), Medium Market (Ranked 11-40) and Small Market (Ranked 41+). This totaled 20 radio stations per music format in each market category. Sample sizes varied by format and by year.

We tracked listening occasions per personal interviews and on-line surveys.

For each member of our sample aged 12 and over, we tracked their preference and passion for each type of music associated with each of the music formats (Passion Index).

The result was a comparison of weekly listening tune-in occasions and the passion.

The following charts summarize our findings:

Top 40

Click on image to enlarge.

As with all of these format examples, Passion for Pop music on Contemporary Hit Radio/Top 40 remains high over the sixteen year term of this study. What has changed is the number of weekly occasions of listening. Drop-off began as early as 2006 - long before many of the alternative methods of consuming Pop music became available. The divide between the passion and the tune-in is significant for this format yet provides an opportunity.

The gap between the Passion Index and the Tune-in Listening Occasions represents the growth potential for these formats.
— Dave Van Dyke

Country

Click on image to enlarge.

According to our samples, passion for Country music has sustained its high numbers throughout this period having reached its highest point today. And as well-programmed are many of the Country radio stations reflected in this study, the passion for the music and the number of times listeners tune-in each day has slipped and in 2010 began to diverge into a Country music life group that is not as satisfied with Country radio as it could be. The gap between the passion index scores and the tune-in occasion number is the potential the format has for growth.

Alternative Rock

Click on image to enlarge.

Evidenced in most of these music formats is the growing gap of non-alignment and nowhere is it more evident than in the Alternative Radio segment. Passion for the Alternative music category which can include everything from Alternative, Punk, Indie, Rock and Alternative Pop remains greater than the satisfaction levels delivered by the stations represented in this next chart. Despite the drop-off, the passion for the music is only 14% lower than it was in 2000 while tune-in to these radio stations on average has dipped faster after a high in 2007.

Urban Contemporary

Click on image to enlarge.

An example of well-aligned radio to its audience is Urban Contemporary as shown in the following chart. Passion for the music and tune-in occasions have followed similar growth trajectories since 2000 and today the format is performing better than ever. Does this have anything to do with the fact that Urban music tends to be the most-consumed whether by stream, download or physical purchase? We believe it does.

Solutions

According to a separate research study of radio program directors conducted late Summer 2016, only 44% of radio programmers used some form of music research. 70% of the group that doesn't use music research depends on published airplay charts to choose and manage their playlists.

The slow disintegration of station tune-in occasions not only aligns with advances in technology but also seems to align with an era when budget for solid station product research began to be cut or reduced and as revenues dried up since 2005, costs were eliminated and research was one of the victims.

The disconnect between listener expectations and radio’s music programming provides an opportunity.

Radio today continues to reach over 90% of the U.S. population weekly. And it's no secret that with all the entertainment options available, traditional radio has competition for the short attention span of most listeners.

With the varied audio options available to radio consumers, frankly they've gotten more sophisticated in their tastes, needs and expectations.

Our listener panels and the charts in this report point to one of music radio's key vulnerabilities: listener expectations are not being met.

Even listening behavior of older demographics have significantly adjusted to the influence of new technology.

The disconnect between listener expectations and radio's music programming provides an opportunity.

The radio industry can view this data in hindsight and wonder why time spent listening is dropping. However a return to investment in the product in the form of research, talent and marketing could resolve or at least halt the deterioration in listener commitment to radio stations that play music they are passionate about.