For
Immediate Release:
Monday, August 2, 2004
Bridge Ratings has completed
a series of research projects which tackles the prevailing issue
of the impact of heavy commercial content on radio listening. These
audience measurement projects generate a result we call "Audience
Attrition Reports." We wanted to definitively learn
how these long stop sets with 4+ minutes of commercials were
impacting the actual 'body count' for the stations. What
we found was both interesting and startling:
1. The attrition rate differs
from market to market based on the competitive landscape.
2. The attrition rate differs
by format as well.
3. Regardless of landscape
or format, the truth behind the loss of listenership is staggering
and consistent.
Methodology. Bridge
Ratings measures CUME SHARE and FAVORITENESS rather than CUME
and Average Quarter Hours. AQH is a fabricated mathematical
measurement of cume x an average quarter hour number composed
of 'best guesses' by diary keepers. Thus, the AQH number
tells a station or its client nothing about the capability of
the station to deliver listeners.
FAVORITENESS is a better
measurement of loyalty especially when combined with the Cume
number. The cume number divided by the favoriteness number
yields a conversion number which more accurately measures station
loyalty. In Bridge Ratings studies, stations that convert
their cume audience to favoriteness at the rate of 40% or more
are powerful instruments in their communities. This is
powerful information for both station and advertisers alike.
In Phoenix, Bridge Ratings
measured the attrition rate of listener loss at a station that
had a FAVORITENESS number of 42,000 persons at the start of the
commercial break. In this case, the 42,000 number represents
a strong market showing. Based on the interviews we conducted
the following represents how the audience count was impacted
during one of this station's typical 6 spot commercial breaks:
End
of Spot # |
Audience |
1 |
33,600 |
2 |
26,208 |
3 |
19,656 |
4 |
14,742 |
5 |
11,057 |
6 |
8,182 |
By the end of the commercial
break this station was left with 19% of the audience it brought
into the break! Keep in mind that these are listeners who
claim that this station is their "favorite, the one they
listen to most." Imagine what is happening with secondary
listeners.
In similar studies conducted
in eight markets general attrition fall off occurs at the following
rates:
End
of Spot # |
%
Listener Attrition |
1 |
20 |
2 |
22 |
3 |
24 |
4 |
25 |
5 |
26 |
6 |
25 |
The percentage figure represents
the number of listeners who tune out from the amount of audience
remaining after each successive commercial. In the above
example, after the first commercial in the break, 20% of the
stations audience tuned out. By the conclusion of commercial
number two, 22% of the audience remaining tuned out; 24% of the
audience remaining tuned out after spot number three, etc. Each
number is a factor of the one preceding it.
Remember, the above percentages
are general averages. Audience attrition rates vary by
format and the competitive nature of the market.
We found this to be extremely
enlightening and tactically speaking, the Phoenix station chose
to immediately move from six unit stop sets to 3 breaks of 4
spots and is still considering going further to four three unit
breaks!
In focus groups conducted
following this on-air change, listeners preferred this
commercial load structure.
As the radio industry continues
to take a hard look at itself, studies like this will aid broadcasters
in truly understanding how their programming impacts listeners'
behavior.
The following chart shows
audience attrition rates by radio format and by number of commercials
in a spot break.
For example, at the start
of spot #2 the Adult Contemporary format had 22 percent fewer
listeners than at the start of spot #1. At the start of spot
#3, 25% of the remaining audience tuned out and so on.
Format
Break-out |
Spot # |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Adult
Contemporary |
22 |
25 |
26 |
28 |
25 |
Classic
Rock/Hits |
20 |
18 |
24 |
29 |
25 |
Active
Rock |
20 |
22 |
24 |
27 |
26 |
Country |
16 |
19 |
20 |
24 |
-- |
Modern
AC |
20 |
22 |
24 |
26 |
24 |
Alternative |
21 |
23 |
24 |
29 |
26 |
News/Talk |
15 |
15 |
19 |
--- |
--- |
Oldies |
20 |
22 |
24 |
25 |
--- |
R&B |
19 |
21 |
24 |
25 |
25 |
Soft
AC |
18 |
20 |
22 |
23 |
--- |
Spanish |
13 |
17 |
19 |
23 |
--- |
CHR |
25 |
25 |
27 |
30 |
27 |
For additional information, contact Dave Van Dyke at 818.291.6420.
Markets: Los Angeles, Oxnard-Ventura, Phoenix,
Dallas, Boise, Sacramento, Las Vegas, Chicago
|